The class of 2026 graduates into a flatlining economy with AI taking off. It appears unprecedented, and many feel somewhere between disquiet and despair. I’m here to strike some notes of optimism.

The same things that got me through then are the things that will get you through now.

I graduated into a recession. 1991: unemployment heading for 10%, inflation a 10%, a Gulf war and an oil shock thrown in for good measure. Sound familiar? There weren’t many jobs going, even with a good degree, so I juggled three part-time gigs for a couple of years before a career took shape. Two friends, who went on to become Design directors, spent a year or two on building sites before they got their’s going.

Your moment - Early career advice

History doesn’t repeat itself, but it often rhymes. Back in 1991, there was a disruptive new technology on every designer’s lips — 3D CAD. There would be no need for sketching, physical modelling, or testing. It would transform design.

Here is the encouraging part. 3D CAD did lead to changes, along with many other developments, such as Experience Design, Business Design, ‘Lean Start-up’, and Designing with Data – but the core role of the designer evolved and, in many ways, became more rewarding.

The same things that got me through then are the things that will get you through now. I’ve boiled them down to three: lean into being a designer, lean into being high-agency, and lean into new and messy problems.

1. Lean into being a designer

Your sketching, CAD and research skills matter — but they don’t set you apart from non-designers, and AI is learning to do a lot of this. What sets you apart is your ability to solve problems in cultural and commercial contexts. Don’t define yourself by tools that come and go.

Four fundamentals hold their value because non-design colleagues often aren’t good at them, and they are the hardest to automate.

Framing. Most projects begin in a fog of ambiguity, with a vague brief that someone has to sharpen into something usable. AI thrives on well-posed problems; it is far weaker at loose briefs. Naming the real challenge — and imposing the constraints that bring it into focus — is becoming more valuable, not less. (More on this here →)

Vision. Designers can see the potential of future products and experiences in higher resolution than their colleagues. If a team has no north star, every decision downstream gets harder. Helping your team have something concrete to aim for, where designers can play a more strategic role.

Taste and judgement. When AI can spin up a hundred concepts on demand, increasingly prompted by a marketer, product manager or an engineer — knowing which ones to develop – and why – becomes a vital skill. We know what good looks like, and more importantly, how to make it happen. We also know when work fits the brand and the target market. But you have to earn that judgement out loud, with a clear rationale, rich vocabulary and strong opinions. ‘Trust me, I’m the designer’ won’t cut it. (Eight creative roles AI shouldn’t play →)

Craftsmanship. Tools change; the commitment to quality of execution shouldn’t. Anyone can spot quality. Designers know how to hone the details that deliver it — the ones that elevate and pull a fragmented experience into a coherent whole.

2. Lean into being high-agency

This is the one that matters most. Ideas don’t move by themselves. Very little happens in the real world without human zeal, charm, grit and hustle. Agency is simply the capacity to shape your own circumstances: less waiting, more doing; less hoping, more moving; less spectator, more player.

It is also where the AI doom-mongers get it wrong. As Kevin Kelly — who has watched many technologies come and go — argues, the smartest people in tech ‘vastly overrate the importance of intelligence. Getting things done in the world takes empathy, persuasion, enthusiasm, determination and grit’. Machines don’t have those. You do.

Four ways to grow agency:

Care about something. Decide on what you want to be known for. Drill into it. Talk about it. Find others who share your obsession. Do projects on it. Give talks about it. This isn’t quite ‘find your passion’, it is more about testing whether the industry cares about it as much as you do.

Get out there. Most opportunities won’t arrive through LinkedIn. They come through someone you helped two years ago, who now runs a team. Build your network slowly, in person where you can, and give before you receive without keeping score. Learn to tell stories that travel, because even your best work needs selling.

Think for yourself. AI produces plausible nonsense; teams slide into groupthink. The world needs people who can spot both. Interrogate, triangulate, debate and sharpen the team’s rationale — and when you’re not sure, prototype, test and learn. Think for yourself, not by yourself. (More on this here →)

Show up and own it. Unglamorous, but decisive. Turn up on time. Make the tea. Work the angles and be tactfully tenacious. When you get knocked back — and you will — dust yourself down and bounce back. When something breaks, take responsibility and help fix it.

When you get a job, work from the office as much as you can, especially in your first few years. That’s where you learn by osmosis, pick up drive-by feedback, watch professionals up close, and get known.

And there is now hard evidence behind that advice. A 2026 LSE study, The Broken Ladder, examined hiring across the UK, US, Canada and Australia and found that the collapse in entry-level recruitment is more closely correlated with remote-work roles than with those exposed to AI. In fact, the AI effect largely disappears once WFH is accounted for. Why? The researchers argue that WFH raises the cost of supervising juniors and slows on-the-job learning. Work from the office to accelerate your learning and get known. (More on the perils of WFH here →)

The collapse in entry-level recruitment is more closely correlated with remote-work roles than with those exposed to AI..

3. Lean into new and messy problems

AI sails through well-posed tasks — it aces maths and law exams and writes a tidy essay. But most real-world work is far messier than exam questions. Messy jobs have moving briefs, no clear scoreboard, people to negotiate with in real time, an unspoken sense of what ‘good’ looks like, and facts you have to go and dig up yourself. That is precisely where humans still hold the edge.

So lean towards the messy and away from the tidy. Be wary of work that is narrowly defined, execution-only, easily templated, done in a silo, or churned out at high volume — that’s the work most exposed to automation. Lean instead into the ambiguous, strategic and collaborative.

It helps to focus on growth areas: AI tooling, physical AI and robotics, the energy pivot, healthcare and ageing, defence and resilience, frontier mobility, and modular construction. AI will pervade all of this and create new jobs as well as displace others. New fields tend to have more openings and fewer veterans, so the playing field is flatter for someone just starting out.

Underpinning all of it are three meta-skills worth cultivating above the rest: keeping your head up, so you’re scanning for what’s next rather than just what’s in front of you; learning how to learn quickly; and connecting the dots between different fields.

You’ve got this
One last story. A recent graduate I know spent his final year worried about his prospects. Rather than stew, he started a podcast interviewing design leaders, built a remarkable network in the process, and walked into a job he wanted after choosing among offers. His own theory of luck is to be ‘exothermic’ — to radiate energy, ambition and kindness, because it’s magnetic and people want to work with you. Get as close as you can to the people you admire; proximity is how you absorb things. And build a sandpit — a website, a Figma file, anything — to show how you actually think.

Much of the work you’ll go on to do hasn’t been invented yet, which means there are no veterans — only people willing to lean in.

You’ve got this. I wish you all the very best with whatever you lean into.

PS — This piece distils a talk I gave to this year’s graduating designers at Nottingham Trent University. The full deck is here. If you run a final-year or graduating course and think your students would get something from it, I’d be glad to give the talk — just get in touch.

The future of work is at home. Or at least that’s what the Technorati and many senior execs and workers appear to believe. Twitter CEO Jack Dorsey sent an email to staff in May, to notify them that they could continue working from home as long as they see fit. Finance directors are shredding property and travel budgets. And many employees report that they are more productive working from home (WFH), have a better work-life balance and certainly don’t miss the commute. A union leader told the UK Government to accept that the ‘world of work has changed,’ and called ministers ‘dinosaurs’ for attempting to get civil servants back to their desks. Get with the programme grandad!

Health concerns aside, the case for WFH seems to be simple, straightforward and utilitarian – and pushing at an open door. The case for the office is complex, nuanced and very human – and needs to be made.

Before I make that case for the office, some background. The concept of remote working first captured my imagination after reading Alvin Toffler enthuse about ‘telecommuting’ from ‘electronic cottages’ in his 1980 futurist classic, The Third Wave. I managed a highly profitable virtual design team from home for a few years in the 1990s, via dial-up modems and then ISDN lines. More recently, I have been an early adopter and keen advocate of cloud collaboration tools such as Asana, Zoom, Dropbox, and Google G Suite. My company has long operated a 1-2 days WFH policy for ‘head-down’ work, and we switched to remote working in a heartbeat at the start of the lockdown. We pay extortionate central London rents, and we’re heading into a severe recession – but I intend to hang on to office working.

The attractions of WFH are immediately tangible, but short-term for many. While going fully remote will make sense for some individuals and companies, leaders should weigh the longer-term and more intangible impacts before joining the rush.

Productivity mirage

Just as research shows that brainstorming is fun, but doesn’t lead to better ideas, so believing that you’re more productive WFH doesn’t make it so. There is a dearth of robust evidence to support the much-claimed productivity gains of remote working. The much-cited study of 1,000 employees of the Chinese firm Ctrip is instructive. The highly rigorous WFH experiment led to a reported 13% increase in productivity and a 50% reduction in staff turnover. Impressive, but the details are instructive. The employees worked at a travel booking call centre, had little need for collaboration, and their work could easily be monitored remotely. To be eligible, every employee had to have a dedicated workspace at home with a door to shut out distractions. Most of the productivity gains came from working longer hours – and at the end of the nine-month experiment, half the home workers returned to the office, citing social isolation and loneliness.

What’s more, one of the authors of the study, the Stanford economist Nicholas Bloom,  believes that the mass shift to WFH full time during Covid-19 will prove to be a ‘productivity disaster’ in the longer term, not least due to its impact on employees. Many studies show that workers tend to work longer hours at home and find it more difficult to ‘turn off’, or maintain the boundary between work and life.Microsoft’s Data Analytics team found that on average people worked four extra hours a week over lockdown – that went up to eight extra hours for senior managers. Many mothers have had to work longer hours to make up for the parenting and family distractions, as they often work in family spaces, while fathers manage to secure the home office or spare room. Other studies show that these longer hours are often driven by increased anxiety among workers who feel their position is more precarious. Evidence of physical and mental health costs are also mounting.

Octavius Black, chief executive of performance management consultancy the Mind Gym, says: ‘There is a risk of productivity collapse as people burn out, can’t cope, feel exhausted, and opt out. Companies won’t notice until quite far down the road, and will find it hard to recover.’

Stilted innovation

Some jobs are better suited to WFH than others – for example, many call centre staff, software coders and accountants can work effectively from home. Others less so;  besides jobs which obviously require a physical presence, from retail workers to surgeons, there are many jobs with more nuanced benefits of face-to-face interaction – particularly those that require sophisticated teamwork and creativity.

Face-to-face collaboration is necessary for creativity and innovation. Bloom’s research has shown it is essential for developing new ideas and keeping staff motivated and focused. ‘I fear this collapse in office face time will lead to a slump in innovation … The new ideas we are losing today could show up as fewer new products in 2021 and beyond, lowering long-run growth.’

Steve Jobs was a famous opponent of remote work who believed that the best work came from accidentally bumping into other people:  ‘Creativity comes from spontaneous meetings, from random discussions … You run into someone; you ask what they’re doing, you say “Wow,” and soon you’re cooking up all sorts of ideas.’ Encouraging chance encounters between knowledge workers in hallways and cafes has been a mainstay of office design for decades.

Offices also help to create and maintain what anthropologists call ‘weak ties’, the shallow and peripheral relationships with people inside and outside the organisation. These weak ties have been proved to increase innovation and service quality, but they are hard to establish and maintain remotely. Anyone vaguely familiar with workplace design knows all of this, yet it seems to be absent from the current WFH debate.

Laboured communication

One of the main reasons for working longer hours, particularly for managers, is the need to communicate more intentionally and frequently when WFH. Remote working also encourages more formal, ‘asynchronous’ and written communication, all taking much longer than ‘grabbing’ someone for a quick chat in the office.

While it’s more laborious, intentional communication can be done adequately via video conference, instant message or email. The hidden damage is the communication that doesn’t happen. Lots of important communication happens unintentionally. Overheard conversations and chats in the kitchen add to our projects,  learning and life. Zoom blinkers and impoverishes communication – and risks reducing us to Zoombies.

Constrained learning

Like communication, learning is often unintentional and happens as much by proximity and osmosis as by design. Younger members of the team learn a lot from being around more senior members. Sure, many seniors are better able to work remotely, but it’s often part of their role to develop juniors, and that happens more effectively face-to-face. Offices are spaces where we observe and learn what it means to be our kind of professional, through a bundle of rituals, behaviours and on-the-job coaching.

Hiring and onboarding new employees remotely is … suboptimal, to say the least. Doing first interviews over Zoom is OK, but I would never make a final hiring decision without spending face time with someone – ideally more than once. New recruits need to bond with teammates, be shown ‘how things are done around here’, and figure out how best they should fit into their new team. Most of which is best done face-to-face.

While remote workers may not be entirely ‘out of sight, out of mind’, it is harder for managers to observe their learning and progress. It is also harder for WFHers to earn the trust of their managers by demonstrating that they are able to work more autonomously at the required level. This is why recognition and promotions often take longer for remote workers.

Culture erosion

One of the key reasons WFH worked better than many expected was that teammates knew each other, many trusted each other and, over time, had reached an understanding of how to get things done – and why. A general understanding of how things get done and what good looks like is the difference between a growing company and one with an uncertain future. In management speak, over the past six months, WFHers have been drawing on ‘cultural capital’  that has been banked over previous years.  Relationships, culture and trust will erode over time through lack of face-to-face interaction. The tacit sense of the meaning of work, how relationships matter and the rituals of getting it done need constant renewal and reinforcement. Leaders need to live and role model a culture, and that is far more effectively done in person.

Managers have a better sense of what’s going on with their people and projects when they share the same space. For example, it is much easier to spot if someone is struggling or going off on a tangent in the office. Leaders can also get a better sense of the spirit of the team, and whether an individual might need support. Leaders lose their peripheral vision in remote mode.

From an employee perspective, workers might like getting up a little later to WFH but many miss the sense of camaraderie. As author and entrepreneur Margaret Heffernan puts it, ‘It makes what could be a grind quite fun. A lot of people are [now] saying “I’m getting my work done but it’s quite hard for it to feel meaningful”’.’ Studies show that remote workers tend to feel more left out and have less attachment to their companies. Culture is pivotal to success – it takes years to build and can wither within months of WFH. For all the talk of soulless offices, working together is what makes us human; empathy, collaboration and creativity are all best practised face-to-face.

Gigified jobs

Managers are encouraged to measure outputs not ‘presenteeism’ in the WFH era. While this chimes with the ‘work smart’ spirit of the times, the common result is more snooping on employees’ calls, keystrokes and coffee breaks – and in FaceBook’s case, their location. While Mark Zuckerberg is happy for his staff to work from wherever they like, he plans to grade salaries based on local pay levels –  and if they cheat the system, staff face ‘severe ramifications’, as theZuck monitors their internet addresses to check employees are not lying about their location.

Once managers become comfortable with more work taking place outside the office, costs pressures will drive them to move more work from their existing workforce, either by using lower-cost workers in Burnley or Bangalore, or by contracting tasks out to knowledge gig workers. Be careful what you wish for.

Conclusion

WFH has a role to play for many companies, and managers need to get over their fears about ‘shirking from home’. Offices are not always the best environments for ‘head-down’ focused work and a hybrid approach of mixing office and home work will become the norm for many. However, as leaders devise new WFH policies it would be wise to reflect on the forced experiment of the last six months. We need to evaluate what was gained and lost, and put measures in place to amplify the advantages and mitigate the disadvantages.

Figuring out the right thing to do is the essence of leadership – not simply going with the flow. Many might find aspects of office work – and their commute – a drag. And leaders are likely to have been the least troubled by WFH from their spacious homes and secure jobs. But for the sake of the next generation of talent, and their companies, cities and society,  leaders need to make the long-term case for working together in the office.

Would you like to share your thought on this subject? Please join the discussion here and see what others think.